Is the yield curve inverted?
NO
The yield curve is normal by 49 basis points
As of 05-09-2025
What does this mean?
A yield curve inversion occurs when short-term Treasury bonds (2-year) pay higher interest rates than long-term bonds (10-year). This unusual situation is often viewed as a potential indicator of an upcoming recession.
Historically, yield curve inversions have preceded every U.S. recession since 1955, with recessions following 6-24 months after the inversion.
Current Yield Curve
Key Rates
10-Year Treasury Rate
4.37%
2-Year Treasury Rate
3.88%